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17.03.2025 10:23 AM
Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, #Bitcoin, and #Ripple – March 17th

EUR/USD

Analysis:

Since February 3 of this year, the chart of the euro has been forming an upward wave zigzag. The wave structure analysis indicates that a correction is forming in the final part (C), shaping a shifting flat pattern on the chart. This formation is nearing completion, with the price approaching the upper boundary of a strong potential reversal zone.

Forecast:

Throughout the upcoming week, the price is expected to move within a sideways range between the nearest opposing zones. A bullish vector is more likely in the first few days, but by the weekend, the probability of a reversal and a decline toward support levels increases.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

Resistance:

  • 1.0930/1.0990

Support:

  • 1.0770/1.0720

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Possible with fractional volume sizes within individual trading sessions.
  • Sell: Not advisable until confirmed reversal signals appear near the resistance zone.

USD/JPY

Analysis:

Since July of last year, the Japanese yen has been strengthening against the U.S. dollar. Within this bearish wave structure, the final phase of wave (C) has been forming since the end of last year. Within this wave, the corrective part (B) is nearing completion, shaping a shifting flat pattern on the chart. Over the past two weeks, the price has been moving along the lower boundary of a strong weekly resistance zone.

Forecast:

Next week, USD/JPY is expected to remain in a sideways range. After possible pressure on the support zone, a reversal and a resumption of upward movement toward resistance levels may follow.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

Resistance:

  • 150.50/151.00

Support:

  • 147.10/146.60

Recommendations:

  • Sell: High risk due to limited downward potential near the projected support level.
  • Buy: Should be considered only after confirmed reversal signals appear near the support zone in line with your trading system.

GBP/JPY

Analysis:

The GBP/JPY pair remains in a global bullish trend. Since August of last year, an ongoing corrective wave zigzag has been developing. The sideways movement of the past three months represents an intermediate correction (B). Once completed, the pair's growth is expected to resume.

Forecast:

At the beginning of the week, GBP/JPY is likely to move sideways, possibly declining toward support and testing its lower boundary. A trend reversal and a subsequent price increase are expected, accompanied by higher volatility. A breakout above the calculated resistance level is unlikely this week.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

Resistance:

  • 193.70/194.20

Support:

  • 191.00/190.50

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Not advisable until confirmed reversal signals appear within the support zone.
  • Sell: Can be used with fractional volumes within individual trading sessions, but potential is limited by support levels.

USD/CAD

Analysis:

Since February 3, the short-term trend for USD/CAD has been driven by a downward wave. Within this wave, the intermediate corrective phase (B) is nearing completion. The pair is currently trading within a channel between key potential reversal zones, and no clear signs of an imminent trend reversal are visible on the chart.

Forecast:

In the coming days, the price is likely to decline toward the support zone. A stalling movement and reversal conditions may emerge within the support zone. A break below the lower boundary of the projected support zone cannot be ruled out. However, a resumption of price growth is expected closer to the weekend.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

Resistance:

  • 1.4480/1.4520

Support:

  • 1.4280/1.4230

Recommendations:

  • Sell: Possible with fractional volumes, but limited potential makes this a riskier trade.
  • Buy: Should be considered only after confirmed reversal signals appear near the support zone.

#Bitcoin

Analysis:

Since December of last year, Bitcoin has been forming a downward wave. The final part (C) is currently unfolding. The past two weeks have seen a temporary correction, which is nearing completion. Bitcoin's price is now at the upper boundary of a potential reversal zone, but no clear reversal signals have emerged yet.

Forecast:

Next week, Bitcoin is expected to complete its current rally, followed by a trend reversal and renewed price decline. During the trend shift, a short-term breach of the upper boundary of the projected resistance zone is possible.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

Resistance:

  • 85,600/86,600

Support:

  • 73,500/72,500

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Possible with fractional volumes in intraday trading.
  • Sell: Premature until reversal signals appear near the resistance zone.

#Ripple

Analysis:

Since mid-January, XRP (Ripple) has been following a downward wave. The wave's highs and lows form a descending pennant pattern. Over the past two weeks, the intermediate phase of the wave has been developing, but it remains unfinished. Currently, XRP is near a key potential reversal zone on the daily chart.

Forecast:

At the beginning of the week, XRP's upward movement is likely to continue. However, near the calculated resistance zone, the likelihood of a pause and transition into a sideways drift increases sharply. Toward the end of the week, a trend reversal and a return to support levels are expected.

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Potential Reversal Zones:

Resistance:

  • 2.4100/2.4150

Support:

  • 1.9850/1.9800

Recommendations:

  • Buy: Possible with reduced volume sizes within individual trading sessions until the first reversal signals appear.
  • Sell: Should be considered only after confirmed reversal signals appear near the calculated resistance zone in accordance with your trading system.

Explanation of Simplified Wave Analysis (SWA):

All waves consist of three parts (A-B-C). Only the last unfinished wave is analyzed on each timeframe. Dashed lines indicate expected price movements.

Important Note: The wave algorithm does not account for the duration of price movements over time.

EURUSD
Euro vs US Dollar
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